Tuesday, March 9, 2010

Wizardgold Wizardcast 41 - Laying the Premiership loser

In this videocast I explore the games on Sunday the 28th of December on how they would work out with the strategy of laying the loser, after the first goal has been just scored.The idea is to lay the team that has just let the goal in and is therefore at that time the loser in the game. The second part of the strategy is to put in a back bet on the 1-2 or 2-1 scoreline, which way depends on whether the home or away team scored first.Seems like a good strategy but you do need to be aware that some games it will not work, like games that have only late goals. The the other thing is the possibilities when the underdog team scores first and it was a lucky goal. You might decide that the loser at that time is still likely to win and perhaps by more than the 1-2 scoreline.Those sort of decisions based on knowledge of the game and the teams is what will give you the edge to have any strategy work long term.Good idea too to have a staking plan so that when you have a bad day and the scores go against the plan you are not wiped out.Don't forget to keep a tally of how something like goes and if you can then paper trade to start with and see if it will work for you.

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